Análisis Sarmiento vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.47
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 2009 |
COL
3 - 1
SAR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 1
CHI
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 2009 |
ALM
2 - 0
SAR
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 2
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 2009 |
SUA
2 - 0
SAR
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
MOR
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
COL
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
MER
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
ALM
31%
29%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
MER
45%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |