Análisis Sarmiento vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 nov. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 3
SAR
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2007 |
SAR
5 - 1
ESP
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 nov. 2007 |
SUA
1 - 2
SAR
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2007 |
SAR
0 - 1
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 4
SAR
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 nov. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 2
TEM
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2007 |
COM
2 - 0
MOR
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 1
ACA
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
MOR
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 0
SUA
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |