Análisis Sarmiento vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 sep. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 2
SAR
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
DEF
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2011 |
TEM
0 - 1
SAR
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2011 |
SAR
4 - 1
ALM
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 ago. 2011 |
SUA
2 - 0
SAR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
PLA
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 1
MOR
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
TEM
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
MOR
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 jun. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
MOR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |