Análisis Sarmiento vs Instituto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
40.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.28
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2014 |
DYJ
2 - 0
SAR
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 0
IND
37%
29%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
SAR
34%
32%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 2
SMA
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2014 |
GIM
0 - 0
SAR
35%
30%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2014 |
INS
3 - 1
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2014 |
INS
3 - 2
VSC
66%
22%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 0
INS
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2014 |
INS
1 - 0
HUR
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2014 |
IRV
1 - 2
INS
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |