Análisis Sarmiento vs Instituto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57%
Probabilidad gana
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19%
Probabilidad gana
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 feb. 2020 |
RSA
1 - 1
SAR
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 3
SAR
23%
29%
48%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
ALB
73%
19%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2019 |
RAF
1 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 1
QUI
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2020 |
INS
1 - 2
DAL
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2019 |
INS
2 - 1
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 nov. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
INS
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2019 |
GIM
2 - 1
INS
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2019 |
INS
2 - 0
RSA
52%
25%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |