Análisis Sarmiento vs Patronato
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 oct. 2013 |
INS
2 - 1
SAR
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 4
DYJ
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 sep. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
SAR
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2013 |
SAR
4 - 1
FER
49%
28%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 0
SAR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 2
VSC
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 0
PAT
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2013 |
PAT
2 - 0
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 sep. 2013 |
IRV
1 - 1
PAT
40%
29%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 1
ATT
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |