Análisis Sarmiento vs Tristán Suárez
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 2002 |
ITU
1 - 4
SAR
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2001 |
SAR
0 - 1
ARR
65%
20%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 2001 |
SAR
2 - 1
BRO
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 dic. 2001 |
ALM
1 - 0
SAR
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 nov. 2001 |
SAR
1 - 0
CAM
50%
23%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 2002 |
SUA
0 - 0
TEM
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 0
SUA
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 2001 |
ARQ
1 - 0
SUA
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2001 |
SUA
2 - 3
ITA
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 nov. 2001 |
STM
0 - 3
SUA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |