Análisis Sarnen vs Willisau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.28
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
25.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAR
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
ESC
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
IBA
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 2016 |
TAV
1 - 2
SAR
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 mar. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 1
LUZ
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 2
IBA
25%
22%
54%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
WIL
69%
16%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 3
HOC
50%
21%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2016 |
TEA
1 - 1
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 2
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |