Bundesliga Jor. 7

Análisis SC Freiburg vs Mainz 05

SC Freiburg Mainz 05
80 ELO 78
7.5% Tilt 2.9%
39º Ranking ELO general 43º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
57.5%
SC Freiburg
22.2%
Empate
20.3%
Mainz 05

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
SC Freiburg
1.9
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Mainz 05
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

SC Freiburg
Mainz 05
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 sep. 2004
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 1
SC Freiburg
SCF
73%
17%
10%
81 91 10 0
21 sep. 2004
SCF
SC Freiburg
3 - 2
VfL Bochum
BOC
42%
25%
33%
80 83 3 +1
19 sep. 2004
SCF
SC Freiburg
1 - 1
VfL Bochum
BOC
39%
24%
37%
80 84 4 0
12 sep. 2004
HAN
Hannover 96
2 - 2
SC Freiburg
SCF
51%
23%
26%
80 79 1 0
28 ago. 2004
SCF
SC Freiburg
1 - 1
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
50%
24%
27%
80 81 1 0

Partidos

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 sep. 2004
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
27%
26%
47%
78 87 9 0
21 sep. 2004
KSC
Karlsruher SC
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
26%
25%
49%
78 64 14 0
18 sep. 2004
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
44%
26%
30%
78 77 1 0
11 sep. 2004
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
21%
24%
55%
77 87 10 +1
28 ago. 2004
HER
Hertha BSC
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
61%
21%
17%
77 84 7 0