Análisis Penedense vs Murici
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2007 |
CRB
1 - 1
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2007 |
ASA
2 - 3
PEN
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2007 |
COR
4 - 1
PEN
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 2
COR
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2008 |
CSA
0 - 2
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2008 |
MUR
2 - 3
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 1
IGA
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2008 |
COR
5 - 0
MUR
66%
19%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
CSA
41%
28%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |