Análisis Kilb vs Ortmann
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.4%
Probabilidad gana
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.8%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
19.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+40%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Kilb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 2019 |
SPR
1 - 1
SCU
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2019 |
SCU
3 - 3
MAN
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2019 |
ARD
1 - 2
SCU
60%
21%
20%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2019 |
SCU
4 - 0
GAF
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 sep. 2019 |
WAI
2 - 2
SCU
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 2019 |
SCO
1 - 3
STP
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2019 |
ASV
5 - 3
SCO
42%
22%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2019 |
SCO
1 - 4
SVR
40%
23%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 sep. 2019 |
SCO
2 - 2
KOT
16%
19%
66%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 sep. 2019 |
SPR
3 - 2
SCO
28%
22%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |