Análisis Atl. Nacional vs Herrera II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
76.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.54
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.8%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-34%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
AFM
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 5
NAC
11%
18%
71%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
CDU
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2023 |
CDB
2 - 2
NAC
10%
18%
72%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Herrera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2023 |
HFC
2 - 5
SFF
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2023 |
HFC
1 - 0
OES
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 2023 |
IDC
2 - 3
HFC
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +2 |
| 04 sep. 2023 |
HFC
1 - 2
UFC
24%
24%
53%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 ago. 2023 |
SAP
4 - 1
HFC
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |