Análisis Atl. Nacional vs Sporting San Miguelito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.4%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ago. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 4
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
ARA
22%
29%
49%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 0
NAC
64%
23%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 jul. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
AMA
24%
28%
48%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 jul. 2015 |
TAU
1 - 0
NAC
66%
22%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ago. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 2
ARA
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 2
SMI
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2015 |
SMI
0 - 1
SFF
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 jul. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 5
SMI
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 jul. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 1
AFC
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |