Análisis SD Ceuta vs Larache
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.2
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.6%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 1946 |
MEL
2 - 0
SDC
28%
22%
50%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 1946 |
SDC
2 - 1
CAA
83%
11%
6%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1946 |
ANT
1 - 1
SDC
19%
21%
60%
|
60 | 25 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1946 |
SDC
6 - 0
SFE
83%
11%
6%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 1946 |
CAD
3 - 1
SDC
24%
22%
54%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | -1 |
Partidos
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 1946 |
CAA
2 - 2
LCF
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 1946 |
LCF
2 - 1
SFE
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 sep. 1946 |
BAL
1 - 1
LCF
63%
19%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1946 |
LCF
4 - 1
CAT
63%
19%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 1946 |
MEL
4 - 2
LCF
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |