Análisis Michelín vs Arganda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.94
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.7%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.6
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Michelín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 1974 |
GUA
1 - 0
SDM
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1971 |
PUL
1 - 0
SDM
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1971 |
SDM
2 - 0
EIB
40%
28%
32%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 09 may. 1971 |
EJE
1 - 4
SDM
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 may. 1971 |
SDM
0 - 4
MIR
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
Partidos
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 1974 |
ARG
4 - 3
ATB
18%
24%
58%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |