Análisis Alemania vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.55
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.2%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 jul. 1966 |
BRD
0 - 0
ARG
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 1966 |
BRD
5 - 0
SUI
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 jun. 1966 |
BRD
1 - 0
ROU
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1966 |
NIR
0 - 2
BRD
37%
23%
40%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 jul. 1966 |
ESP
2 - 1
SUI
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 1966 |
ARG
2 - 1
ESP
68%
18%
15%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 jun. 1966 |
ESP
1 - 1
URU
70%
17%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1965 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
47%
21%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1965 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRL
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |