Análisis Alemania vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.11
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.8%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jun. 1982 |
BRD
0 - 0
ENG
72%
16%
13%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 jun. 1982 |
BRD
1 - 0
AUT
84%
11%
6%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 1982 |
BRD
4 - 1
CHI
89%
8%
4%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 jun. 1982 |
BRD
1 - 2
ALG
91%
7%
3%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1982 |
NOR
2 - 4
BRD
12%
21%
67%
|
94 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 jun. 1982 |
NIR
1 - 0
ESP
42%
27%
32%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 1982 |
ESP
2 - 1
YUG
57%
21%
21%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 jun. 1982 |
ESP
1 - 1
HND
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1982 |
ESP
2 - 0
SUI
78%
17%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 1982 |
ESP
1 - 1
WAL
72%
19%
8%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |