Análisis Alemania vs Estados Unidos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.64
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.7%
Empate
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.7%
6.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 1972 |
BRD
3 - 0
MAR
85%
9%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 1972 |
BRD
3 - 0
MAS
86%
9%
5%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 1972 |
BRD
3 - 0
SUN
76%
14%
10%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 1972 |
BRD
2 - 1
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1972 |
BRD
4 - 1
SUN
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Estados Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 1972 |
MAS
3 - 0
USA
52%
21%
27%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 1972 |
MAR
0 - 0
USA
67%
17%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1968 |
HTI
1 - 0
USA
54%
20%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 1968 |
HTI
5 - 2
USA
51%
20%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 oct. 1968 |
HTI
3 - 6
USA
54%
20%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |