Análisis Alemania vs Inglaterra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.99
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 1977 |
BRD
1 - 1
WAL
88%
10%
3%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1977 |
BRD
4 - 1
SUI
88%
10%
2%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1977 |
BRD
2 - 1
ITA
63%
22%
16%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 sep. 1977 |
FIN
0 - 1
BRD
17%
24%
59%
|
92 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 1977 |
MEX
2 - 2
BRD
23%
26%
51%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1977 |
ENG
2 - 0
ITA
55%
24%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1977 |
LUX
0 - 2
ENG
10%
20%
70%
|
91 | 45 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1977 |
ENG
0 - 0
SUI
87%
11%
3%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 1977 |
URU
0 - 0
ENG
26%
28%
47%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 1977 |
ARG
1 - 1
ENG
48%
26%
26%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |