Análisis Alemania vs Marruecos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.69
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.3%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1966 |
BRD
3 - 0
NOR
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1966 |
TUR
0 - 2
BRD
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 1966 |
ENG
4 - 2
BRD
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 1
SUN
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 1966 |
BRD
4 - 0
URU
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Marruecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 nov. 1966 |
ALG
2 - 2
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1966 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALG
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 1965 |
ALG
0 - 0
MAR
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1965 |
LBY
1 - 0
MAR
43%
21%
36%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 1965 |
MAR
2 - 0
KWT
68%
16%
16%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |