Análisis Alemania vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.89
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.1%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 1978 |
SWE
3 - 1
BRD
28%
27%
45%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 1
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1978 |
BRD
1 - 0
SUN
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1978 |
BRD
2 - 1
ENG
66%
21%
14%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1977 |
BRD
1 - 1
WAL
88%
10%
3%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 1978 |
POL
1 - 0
BGR
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1978 |
POL
3 - 0
IRL
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1978 |
POL
5 - 2
GRC
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1978 |
LUX
1 - 3
POL
12%
16%
72%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1977 |
POL
2 - 1
SWE
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |