Análisis Alemania vs Suecia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.7%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 1987 |
BRD
1 - 0
DEN
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 1987 |
BRD
2 - 1
FRA
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1987 |
BRD
0 - 0
ITA
67%
20%
13%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1987 |
ISR
0 - 2
BRD
17%
25%
58%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1986 |
AUT
4 - 1
BRD
28%
27%
46%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Suecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 1987 |
SWE
0 - 1
POR
56%
26%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 1987 |
SWE
1 - 0
DEN
51%
27%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 ago. 1987 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
28%
28%
44%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 1987 |
SUI
1 - 1
SWE
32%
28%
40%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 jun. 1987 |
SWE
1 - 0
ITA
39%
31%
30%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |