Análisis Alemania vs URSS
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.73
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.9%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jul. 1966 |
BRD
4 - 0
URU
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 1966 |
BRD
0 - 0
ARG
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 1966 |
BRD
5 - 0
SUI
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
HUN
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
75%
14%
10%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 jul. 1966 |
SUN
1 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 10 | 74 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 3
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |