Análisis Alemania vs URSS
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.17
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 1978 |
BRD
2 - 1
ENG
66%
21%
14%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1977 |
BRD
1 - 1
WAL
88%
10%
3%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1977 |
BRD
4 - 1
SUI
88%
10%
2%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1977 |
BRD
2 - 1
ITA
63%
22%
16%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 sep. 1977 |
FIN
0 - 1
BRD
17%
24%
59%
|
92 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 3
SUN
20%
27%
54%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1977 |
FRA
0 - 0
SUN
42%
28%
30%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1977 |
NED
0 - 0
SUN
54%
25%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1977 |
SUN
4 - 1
POL
57%
24%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 1977 |
DDR
2 - 1
SUN
50%
27%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |