Análisis Alemania vs URSS
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 feb. 1984 |
BEL
0 - 1
BRD
25%
26%
49%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1984 |
BGR
2 - 3
BRD
18%
24%
58%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 1983 |
BRD
2 - 1
ALB
97%
3%
1%
|
94 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1983 |
BRD
0 - 1
NIR
89%
9%
2%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1983 |
BRD
5 - 1
TUR
90%
8%
2%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 nov. 1983 |
POR
1 - 0
SUN
27%
29%
44%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1983 |
SUN
2 - 0
POL
65%
21%
14%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 jul. 1983 |
DDR
1 - 3
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 jun. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 1
SUN
19%
26%
55%
|
92 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 may. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
SUN
46%
26%
28%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |