Análisis Alemania vs URSS
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 4
BRD
15%
24%
61%
|
94 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 1988 |
NED
2 - 1
BRD
41%
24%
35%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 1988 |
BRD
2 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
11%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 1988 |
BRD
2 - 0
DEN
81%
12%
6%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 1988 |
BRD
1 - 1
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 1988 |
ARG
1 - 2
SUN
40%
29%
31%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1988 |
KOR
0 - 0
SUN
27%
30%
43%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 1988 |
ISL
1 - 1
SUN
17%
28%
55%
|
93 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 0
SUN
18%
27%
55%
|
93 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 jun. 1988 |
SUN
0 - 2
NED
70%
18%
13%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |