Análisis Alemania vs Suecia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
72.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.4
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2012 |
IRL
1 - 6
DEU
17%
21%
61%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2012 |
AUT
1 - 2
DEU
11%
18%
72%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2012 |
DEU
3 - 0
FRO
91%
7%
2%
|
96 | 52 | 44 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2012 |
DEU
1 - 3
ARG
57%
22%
21%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 jun. 2012 |
DEU
1 - 2
ITA
67%
18%
14%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Suecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 2
SWE
9%
20%
71%
|
92 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 0
KAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2012 |
SWE
1 - 0
CHN
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2012 |
SWE
0 - 3
BRA
20%
23%
57%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 0
FRA
24%
24%
52%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |