Análisis Argentina vs Chile
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.97
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 2
PER
77%
14%
10%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1947 |
ARG
7 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
17%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 1947 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHI
37%
22%
41%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1947 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 1947 |
URU
6 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 1946 |
CHI
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 feb. 1946 |
BRA
5 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |