Análisis Argentina vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
83.5%
Probabilidad gana
3.15
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.6%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
5.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1947 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 2
PER
77%
14%
10%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1947 |
ARG
7 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
PRY
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 dic. 1947 |
PER
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1947 |
URY
6 - 1
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 1947 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHL
37%
22%
41%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 1947 |
ECU
2 - 2
BOL
51%
21%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |