Análisis Argentina vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.71
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.6%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
10.5%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.5%
3.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.37
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jul. 2004 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
76%
17%
8%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2004 |
ARG
0 - 2
COL
71%
19%
10%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 jun. 2004 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
73%
18%
9%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARG
16%
24%
61%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 jun. 2004 |
ECU
3 - 2
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 2004 |
ECU
2 - 1
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2004 |
HND
1 - 1
ECU
47%
28%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2004 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2004 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |