Análisis Argentina vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.6%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 jun. 2008 |
USA
0 - 0
ARG
26%
26%
48%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 4
ARG
29%
26%
45%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2008 |
EGY
0 - 2
ARG
23%
25%
53%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 2007 |
COL
2 - 1
ARG
22%
26%
52%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2007 |
ARG
3 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
6%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 2008 |
FRA
2 - 0
ECU
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2008 |
ECU
3 - 1
HTI
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 2007 |
ECU
5 - 1
PER
53%
26%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2007 |
PAR
5 - 1
ECU
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2007 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
85%
12%
4%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |