Análisis Argentina vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.43
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.8%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 sep. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 2
MEX
71%
18%
11%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2015 |
ARG
7 - 0
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 jul. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
ARG
29%
23%
48%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 jul. 2015 |
ARG
6 - 1
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 jun. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 2015 |
ECU
2 - 0
HND
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2015 |
MEX
1 - 2
ECU
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 2015 |
ECU
2 - 3
BOL
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 0
ECU
57%
22%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 2015 |
ECU
4 - 0
PAN
68%
20%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |