Análisis Australia vs Papua Nueva Guinea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.51
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.6%
Empate
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
4.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 1980 |
AUS
8 - 0
NCL
87%
9%
5%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 1980 |
AUS
2 - 2
CSK
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1980 |
AUS
0 - 5
CSK
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 1980 |
AUS
0 - 4
CSK
34%
29%
38%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 nov. 1979 |
TJK
0 - 2
AUS
18%
22%
60%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
Partidos
Papua Nueva Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 1980 |
PNG
4 - 3
VAN
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 1979 |
FIJ
0 - 0
PNG
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 ago. 1969 |
PNG
2 - 1
FIJ
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +3 |
| 19 ago. 1969 |
PNG
1 - 1
FIJ
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |