Análisis Australia vs Sudáfrica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.66
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
18.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 1954 |
AUS
4 - 1
NZL
83%
10%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 1954 |
AUS
4 - 1
NZL
82%
10%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 1954 |
AUS
1 - 2
NZL
84%
9%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 1950 |
RSA
0 - 2
AUS
58%
19%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 jul. 1950 |
RSA
1 - 2
AUS
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Sudáfrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 1954 |
RSA
2 - 1
ISR
60%
18%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1953 |
POR
3 - 1
RSA
41%
20%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 jul. 1950 |
RSA
0 - 2
AUS
58%
19%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 1950 |
RSA
1 - 2
AUS
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 jul. 1950 |
RSA
2 - 1
AUS
60%
19%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |