Análisis Bélgica vs Suiza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.27
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.1%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
26.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bélgica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 1939 |
NED
3 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1939 |
BEL
5 - 4
NED
36%
21%
43%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 4
GER
33%
22%
46%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 1938 |
FRA
3 - 1
BEL
58%
19%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 may. 1938 |
BEL
2 - 2
YUG
59%
19%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Suiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 1939 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
44%
21%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1939 |
SUI
3 - 1
HUN
35%
21%
44%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 feb. 1939 |
POR
2 - 4
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 nov. 1938 |
ITA
2 - 0
SUI
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 1938 |
SUI
1 - 0
POR
52%
20%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |