Análisis Brasil vs Alemania Occidental
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
55.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 1987 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 jul. 1987 |
BRA
0 - 4
CHI
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 1987 |
BRA
5 - 0
VEN
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 60 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 jun. 1987 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
81%
13%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 1987 |
BRA
4 - 1
ECU
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
Partidos
Alemania Occidental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 1987 |
HUN
0 - 0
BRD
37%
26%
37%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1987 |
BRD
1 - 1
SWE
74%
17%
10%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1987 |
BRD
1 - 0
DEN
78%
15%
7%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 1987 |
BRD
2 - 1
FRA
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1987 |
BRD
0 - 0
ITA
67%
20%
13%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | -1 |