Análisis Brasil vs Chile
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.59
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.8%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 1917 |
URU
3 - 1
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1917 |
BRA
5 - 0
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1917 |
URU
4 - 0
BRA
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 oct. 1917 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 1916 |
URU
0 - 1
BRA
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 1917 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1917 |
BRA
5 - 0
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 oct. 1917 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 jul. 1916 |
URU
4 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 jul. 1916 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |