Análisis Brasil vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.64
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.5%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
3.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.42
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2007 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 1
MEX
76%
16%
8%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2007 |
USA
2 - 4
BRA
20%
24%
57%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 0
ALG
90%
8%
2%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 0
ARG
54%
21%
25%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2007 |
ECU
0 - 1
VEN
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2007 |
HND
2 - 1
ECU
44%
28%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 sep. 2007 |
ECU
5 - 1
SLV
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2007 |
ECU
1 - 0
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 jul. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECU
93%
6%
1%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |