Análisis Brasil vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.62
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.4%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 jul. 1950 |
BRA
7 - 1
SWE
57%
19%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 jul. 1950 |
BRA
2 - 0
YUG
71%
15%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 1950 |
BRA
2 - 2
SUI
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 jun. 1950 |
BRA
4 - 0
MEX
67%
16%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1950 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 jul. 1950 |
URU
2 - 2
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 jul. 1950 |
ESP
1 - 0
ENG
42%
21%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 jun. 1950 |
ESP
2 - 0
CHI
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 jun. 1950 |
ESP
3 - 1
USA
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 1950 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |