Análisis Brasil vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.43
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.6%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
11.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jun. 1978 |
SWE
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1978 |
BRA
2 - 0
CSK
73%
18%
8%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1978 |
BRA
3 - 0
PER
82%
14%
4%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 1
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jun. 1978 |
AUT
2 - 1
ESP
52%
25%
24%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1978 |
URU
0 - 0
ESP
31%
30%
39%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 0
MEX
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1978 |
ESP
3 - 0
NOR
84%
13%
4%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
46%
27%
27%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | +1 |