Análisis Brasil vs México
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
90.3%
Probabilidad gana
3.42
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jul. 2001 |
URY
1 - 0
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2001 |
AUS
1 - 0
BRA
3%
11%
86%
|
100 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 jun. 2001 |
FRA
2 - 1
BRA
40%
23%
36%
|
100 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 2001 |
BRA
0 - 0
JPN
93%
6%
2%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 2001 |
CAN
0 - 0
BRA
1%
7%
92%
|
100 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
México
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jul. 2001 |
MEX
1 - 0
USA
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2001 |
HND
3 - 1
MEX
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 jun. 2001 |
MEX
1 - 2
CRI
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2001 |
FRA
4 - 0
MEX
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2001 |
KOR
2 - 1
MEX
42%
25%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |