Copa América Final

Análisis Brasil vs Paraguay

Brasil Paraguay
77 ELO 71
1.8% Tilt -1.7%
26º Ranking ELO general 200º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
60.4%
Brasil
19.8%
Empate
19.8%
Paraguay

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Brasil
2.23
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
Paraguay
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Brasil
-6%
+7%
Paraguay

Progresión del ELO

Brasil
Paraguay
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Brasil
Brasil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 oct. 1922
BRA
Brasil
2 - 0
Argentina
ARG
47%
23%
30%
76 80 4 0
01 oct. 1922
BRA
Brasil
0 - 0
Uruguay
URU
45%
23%
33%
76 80 4 0
24 sep. 1922
BRA
Brasil
1 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
60%
20%
20%
76 72 4 0
17 sep. 1922
BRA
Brasil
1 - 1
Chile
CHI
72%
16%
12%
76 63 13 0
23 oct. 1921
URU
Uruguay
2 - 1
Brasil
BRA
65%
19%
17%
76 79 3 0

Partidos

Paraguay
Paraguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 oct. 1922
PAR
Paraguay
0 - 2
Argentina
ARG
45%
23%
32%
73 80 7 0
12 oct. 1922
URU
Uruguay
0 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
68%
17%
15%
72 80 8 +1
05 oct. 1922
PAR
Paraguay
3 - 0
Chile
CHI
69%
17%
14%
72 62 10 0
24 sep. 1922
BRA
Brasil
1 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
60%
20%
20%
72 76 4 0
27 ago. 1922
ARG
Argentina
3 - 3
Paraguay
PAR
63%
20%
17%
71 80 9 +1