Análisis Brasil vs Paraguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.76
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.8%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ago. 2001 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAN
90%
8%
2%
|
98 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 2001 |
HND
2 - 0
BRA
3%
11%
87%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 jul. 2001 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAR
88%
8%
3%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 2001 |
BRA
2 - 0
PER
94%
5%
1%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 jul. 2001 |
BRA
0 - 1
MEX
90%
7%
3%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 jul. 2001 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAR
88%
8%
3%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2001 |
PAR
0 - 0
MEX
47%
25%
29%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2001 |
PER
3 - 3
PAR
25%
24%
51%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 jul. 2001 |
JPN
2 - 0
PAR
43%
26%
32%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 0
YUG
28%
25%
47%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |