Análisis Brasil vs Paraguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.3
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
8.3%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 jul. 2001 |
BRA
2 - 0
PER
94%
5%
1%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2001 |
BRA
0 - 1
MEX
90%
7%
3%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 jul. 2001 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2001 |
AUS
1 - 0
BRA
3%
11%
86%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2001 |
FRA
2 - 1
BRA
40%
23%
36%
|
99 | 99 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 jul. 2001 |
PAR
0 - 0
MEX
47%
25%
29%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2001 |
PER
3 - 3
PAR
25%
24%
51%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 jul. 2001 |
JPN
2 - 0
PAR
43%
26%
32%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 0
YUG
28%
25%
47%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |