Análisis Brasil vs Uruguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60%
Probabilidad gana
2.58
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.1%
21.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.54
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1946 |
BRA
3 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1946 |
URY
1 - 1
BRA
48%
21%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1946 |
URY
4 - 3
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 dic. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
46%
22%
33%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 dic. 1945 |
BRA
6 - 2
ARG
43%
22%
35%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1946 |
URY
1 - 0
CHL
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1946 |
URY
1 - 1
BRA
48%
21%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 1946 |
URY
4 - 3
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 ago. 1945 |
ARG
6 - 2
URY
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 jul. 1945 |
URY
2 - 2
ARG
36%
24%
41%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |