Análisis Brasil vs Uruguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.78
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
16.8%
Empate
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.8%
18.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 1949 |
BRA
7 - 1
PER
75%
14%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1949 |
BRA
5 - 0
COL
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 1949 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1949 |
BRA
10 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1949 |
BRA
9 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 2
COL
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
URU
25%
20%
55%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1949 |
URU
3 - 2
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1948 |
URU
4 - 2
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |