Análisis Brasil vs Venezuela
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
84.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
11.2%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
3.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.44
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
BRA
11%
20%
69%
|
100 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2009 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHL
81%
13%
5%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
100 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2009 |
EST
0 - 1
BRA
8%
19%
73%
|
100 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2009 |
USA
2 - 3
BRA
13%
18%
69%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2009 |
VEN
1 - 2
PRY
40%
27%
32%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2009 |
VEN
3 - 1
PER
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 2
VEN
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
VEN
62%
24%
15%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 jun. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 0
VEN
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |