Análisis Brasil vs Yugoslavia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.29
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.4%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ago. 1930 |
BRA
3 - 2
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 0
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 1930 |
YUG
2 - 1
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 27 | 51 | 0 |
| 25 dic. 1925 |
BRA
2 - 2
ARG
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1925 |
PAR
1 - 3
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ago. 1930 |
ARG
3 - 1
YUG
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 85 | 54 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 1930 |
URU
6 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 84 | 53 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 1930 |
YUG
4 - 0
BOL
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 65 | 37 | +3 |
| 14 jul. 1930 |
YUG
2 - 1
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 78 | 51 | +1 |
| 15 jun. 1930 |
BGR
2 - 2
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | +1 |