Análisis Bulgaria vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.22
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
30.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1947 |
YUG
2 - 1
BGR
70%
14%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1947 |
HUN
9 - 0
BGR
84%
10%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 jul. 1947 |
BGR
2 - 0
ALB
53%
20%
26%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 jul. 1947 |
BGR
2 - 3
ROU
52%
20%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 1947 |
BGR
2 - 0
ALB
50%
21%
29%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1947 |
ROU
0 - 0
POL
54%
19%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1947 |
YUG
7 - 1
POL
58%
17%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 1947 |
FIN
1 - 4
POL
39%
20%
41%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1947 |
SWE
5 - 4
POL
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 1947 |
CSK
6 - 3
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |