Análisis Bulgaria vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.42
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 1957 |
BGR
1 - 2
HUN
10%
15%
75%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 1957 |
BGR
0 - 4
SUN
75%
14%
12%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 jun. 1957 |
HUN
4 - 1
BGR
93%
5%
2%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1957 |
DEN
1 - 1
BGR
71%
15%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 may. 1957 |
NOR
1 - 2
BGR
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 jul. 1957 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
56%
19%
25%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 1957 |
SUN
3 - 0
POL
41%
21%
39%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 may. 1957 |
POL
0 - 1
TUR
42%
20%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1956 |
TUR
1 - 1
POL
63%
18%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1956 |
POL
5 - 0
FIN
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |